France dodges recession with zero growth in Q2

  • Dr Mahathir regrets internet freedom
    Dr Mahathir regrets internet freedom

    Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad admitted today he might have made a mistake in giving guarantees for internet freedom, which has been blamed for empowering and enabling opposition parties to win more seats in Election 2013. …

  • Time to re-look at ETP and NKEA, says corporate leader
    Time to re-look at ETP and NKEA, says corporate leader

    It is time for the country to re-look at the Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) and the National Key Economic Areas (NKEA) programmes in order to evaluate the effectiveness of the government plans in actually boosting the country's economy. …

  • How Umno exploits fears of Pakatan among Malays
    How Umno exploits fears of Pakatan among Malays

    INTERVIEW Umno has successfully exploited the fears many Malays that a stronger Pakatan Rakyat would mean a dominant DAP, said PAS central committee member Dr Dzulkefly Ahmad. …

  • Goodbye to the national car, Proton
    Goodbye to the national car, Proton

    The last vestiges of the national car project will disappear as soon as Putrajaya replaces its fleet of ageing Proton Perdana V6 limousines with Honda Accords, while the Pahang government has opted for the Volkwagen Passats. …

  • Election Commission chairperson admits failure of indelible ink
    Election Commission chairperson admits failure of indelible ink

    By Trinna Leong The Election Commission admits failure of indelible ink during the 13th general election. Its chairperson, Tan Sri Abdul Aziz Mohd Yusof (pic) expressed his disappointment with reports that the ink could be washed off easily."If people ask me now, what is the saddest thing in my life, I would answer: ‘Indelible ink'," said Abdul Aziz during an interview with Malay daily, Sinar Harian.The ink was part of the electoral reforms made last year to improve transparency within the …

France's economy managed zero growth in the second quarter of 2012, data showed Tuesday, beating expectations it would begin a slide into recession.

In its first flash estimate for the second quarter, the national statistics institute INSEE said that French gross domestic product (GDP) was unchanged.

That confounded expectations by many economists including the Bank of France that slowdown plaguing much of the eurozone would push France towards recession.

French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici called the result "very weak" but held to the government's forecast for 0.3 percent growth in 2012.

Moscovici said on Europe 1 radio that zero growth "wasn't great" but "at the same time France is not in recession" unlike "most of our partners" in the EU such as Spain, Italy and Britain.

A recession is commonly defined by economists as two consecutive quarters of contracting activity.

However France once again did less well than its principal partner, Germany, which posted 0.3 percent growth in the second quarter according to official data also published on Tuesday.

Eurostat was to later release its flash second quarter estimate for the eurozone, which posted flat growth in the first quarter.

France emerged from its last recession in the spring of 2009 but the economy has since struggled to gain momentum as the eurozone debt crisis has intensified, posting zero growth for the last three quarters.

Uncertainty over the fate of the euro and related problems in credit markets have resulted in investors either cancelling or delaying major spending decisions, with a Greek debt writedown and concern over Spanish banks hitting sentiment in the second quarter.

Meanwhile consumers have been hit as governments cut spending and raise taxes to reduce the deficits and debt that are behind the eurozone crisis.

The French construction and automobile industries have been hit particularly hard. New housing starts in the second quarter were 14 percent below 2011 levels while July car sales were down 7.0 percent on a year earlier.

With these job-intensive sectors struggling, unemployment has spiked.

Latest figures put the jobless total at nearly 10 percent of the workforce with a further 5.0 percent working fewer hours than they would like.

Given the deepening of the eurozone crisis in the second quarter "flat GDP shows resilience in the second quarter," said Berenberg Bank Senior Economist Christian Schulz.

"Despite the apparent resilience of French GDP, some worrying trends persist," he added, however.

He noted France is continuing to lose competitiveness to southern eurozone countries going through difficult adjustments, with imports continuing to outpace exports and taking the trade deficit to record highs.

The trade deficit took 0.5 percent off France's growth in the second quarter, after 0.1 percent in the first quarter.

Moreover France has yet to begin serious austerity, with government spending continuing to support the economy, he noted.

That poses a challenge to France's new Socialist government.

Elected in May on a jobs and growth ticket, President Francois Hollande faces an increasingly tough battle to deliver while simultaneously meeting a commitment to reduce France's budget deficit from around 4.5 percent of GDP this year to the EU limit of 3.0 percent by the end of 2013.

While Moscovici stuck to the government's latest forecasts of 0.3 percent growth in 2012 and 1.2 percent in 2013, they are considered optimistic by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank of France.

Slower growth would force the government to make greater cuts or raise more taxes to meet its deficit targets.

Loading...

Comments on Yahoo! pages are subject to our link to Comments Guidelines. You are responsible for any content that you post. Yahoo! is not responsible or liable in any way for comments posted by its users. Yahoo! does not in any way endorse or support comments made by its users.

  • Goodbye to the national car, Proton The Malaysian Insider
    Goodbye to the national car, Proton

    The last vestiges of the national car project will disappear as soon as Putrajaya replaces its fleet of ageing Proton Perdana V6 limousines with Honda Accords, while the Pahang government has opted for the Volkwagen Passats. …

  • Selamat jalan kereta nasional, Proton The Malaysian Insider

    Oleh Jahabar Sadiq, Pengarang Sisa-sisa projek kereta nasional akan berakhir tidak lama lagi kerana Putrajaya akan menggantikan penggunaan Proton Perdana V6 yang telah lama sebagai limosin rasmi dengan Honda Accord sementara kerajaan negeri Pahang akan menggunakan Volkswagen Passat. …

  • Dr Mahathir regrets internet freedom The Malaysian Insider
    Dr Mahathir regrets internet freedom

    Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad admitted today he might have made a mistake in giving guarantees for internet freedom, which has been blamed for empowering and enabling opposition parties to win more seats in Election 2013. …

  • Election Commission chairperson admits failure of indelible ink The Malaysian Insider
    Election Commission chairperson admits failure of indelible ink

    By Trinna Leong The Election Commission admits failure of indelible ink during the 13th general election. Its chairperson, Tan Sri Abdul Aziz Mohd Yusof (pic) expressed his disappointment with reports that the ink could be washed off easily."If people ask me now, what is the saddest thing in my life, I would answer: ‘Indelible ink'," said Abdul Aziz during an interview with Malay daily, Sinar Harian.The ink was part of the electoral reforms made last year to improve transparency within the …