Barcelona find themselves in the difficult situation of knowing that even a victory tonight against Malaga will not be enough to stop Real Madrid claiming the La Liga crown, should the capital club win at Athletic Bilbao.
Three points for Los Blancos this evening will guarantee Jose Mourinho his first league title in Spain, although the Basques will be desperate to avoid that happening, leaving Barcelona with just the smallest amount of hope.
For that hope to continue, the Catalans must fulfill their part of the bargain, namely beating Malaga, and 188Bet price a home victory at 13/100 (1.13). The Andalusians, who are hoping to claim a place in the Champions League, can be backed at 27/2 (14.50) to secure a victory. 
Having responded to their respective Clasico and Champions League disappointments by thrashing Rayo Vallecano 7-0 on Sunday, Barca will once again be keen to put on a performance for their departing manager Pep Guardiola.
Backing a high-scoring match at the Camp Nou is hardly the most original bet, but over 3.5 goals looks extremely tempting at 3/4 (1.75). It has paid out in nine of Barca'a last 12 home games, and in five of the last seven meetings between the two sides.
With Barca averaging over 3.70 goals a game, and Malaga over 2.8 goals, these are two of the most prolific sides in the division, and backing at least four goals in the game looks to be an extremely solid selection.
For a value bet, why not try backing a repeat of the score from when these two sides met earlier in the season, 4-1 to Barca, offered at 13/1 (14.00)? The Catalans have conceded in seven of their last nine home games, but as mentioned before goals look likely, so the 4-1 scoreline looks appealing for a small investment.
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BET |
OF THE |
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| BEST BET |
VALUE BET |
| Over 3.5 goals 3/4 (1.75) with 188Bet |
Barca win 4-1 13/1 (14.00) with 188Bet |
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Phil Kitromilides is a sports broadcaster working on radio and TV in London and Madrid, you can also follow Phil on Twitter